Who Will Be the Republican Nominee for President?
Justin Buchler, Ph.D. - Associate Professor of Political Science at Case Western Reserve University |
Friday October 14, 2011
12:30-1:30 p.m.
**Research Commons - Mather Room on the 2nd floor of KSL**
Kelvin Smith Library
Case Western Reserve University
Dear Colleagues:
Any handicapper would have to say that whoever gets the Republican nomination for President is likely to win the 2012 election. Incumbents do not do well when unemployment is high and their base is demoralized.
Yet all of the candidates seem to have flaws that discourage Republican political leaders from rallying around them. That isn’t so unusual (see the Democratic field in 2004), but this Republican campaign appears particularly quirky. In every year since 1979, the winner of the straw poll at the Florida Republican convention the year before the election has gone on to be the party’s nominee. This year’s winner was former Godfathers Pizza CEO Herman Cain, who has hardly any support in national polls. Is there, nevertheless, a logic to the campaign? Come see what Professor Buchler, a specialist in elections, has to say.
Very best regards,
Joe White
Luxenberg Family Professor of Public Policy and Director, Center for Policy Studies
About Our Guest...
Justin Buchler studies elections, with an emphasis on legislative elections. He has written extensively about the effects of competitive elections on political institutions. His recently published book, Hiring and Firing Public Officials: Rethinking the Purpose of Elections (Oxford University Press), argues that we should think of elections as employment decisions rather than as markets. Thus, competitive elections do not indicate a healthy democracy, as market analogies suggest. Instead, they indicate a failure of democracy because competitive elections are a poor method of making employment decisions regarding public officials. Consequently, they create perverse incentives and unrepresentative outcomes. His published papers on the topic include "The Social Sub-Optimality of Competitive Elections" (in Public Choice), which received the 2007 Gordon Tullock Prize. His other papers on the topic focus on redistricting.
Currently, Justin Buchler writes about the use of spatial models to study elections. His papers address the role of party influence on candidate position-taking, as well as the impact of valence characteristics, such as competence and honesty.
In the past, he has also written about campaign finance, and published several pieces on voting technology.
Where We Meet
The Friday Public Affairs Lunch will meet this week in the Research Commons area on the second floor of Kelvin Smith Library. That is in the northwest corner of the library. When you get off the elevator it would be ahead and to the right - the equivalent of 1 o'clock if the elevator were at 6 o'clock. We should return the following week to the Dampeer Room.
Parking Possibilities
The most convenient parking is the lot underneath Severance Hall. We regret that it is not free. From that lot there is an elevator up to street level (labeled as for the Thwing Center); it is less than 50 yards from that exit to the library entrance.
There is also on-street parking on both East Drive and Bellflower. Both are fairly short walks from the library.
Friday Lunch Upcoming Topics and Speakers:
October 21: What Can We Do With Vacant Land in Shrinking Cities? W. Dennis Keating, Levin College Distinguished Professor, Cleveland State University
October 28: Should the Workday Include Time for Naps? Research Concerning Sleep and Productivity. Elizabeth Click, Assistant Professor, Frances Payne Bolton School of Nursing.
November 4: (Re)Regulating Financial Services: How Laws May Work in Practice. Michael Wager J.D., Squire, Sanders and Dempsey
November 11: How are Successful Companies and Successful Universities Alike? Richard E. Boyatzis, Distinguished University Professor and H. R. Horvitz Chair of Family Business, Departments of Organizational Behavior, Psychology, and Cognitive Science.
November 18: Wikipedia in the University. Peter Shulman, Assistant Professor of History.
November 25: No Session - Thanksgiving Break
December 2: University Circle Update. Steven Litt, Architecture Critic, Cleveland Plain Dealer
December 9: Outsourcing and Offshoring Legal Services. Cassandra Burke Robertson, Associate Professor of Law |
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October 10, 2011
If you would like to reply, submit items for inclusion, or not receive this weekly e-mail please send a notice to: padg@case.edu
Upcoming
Events
RE-ENVISIONING THE ACADEMY FOR WOMEN (AND MEN)
PROFESSOR NANNERL KEOHANE, Ph.D., PRINCETON UNIVERSITY
October 20, 2011, 4:30-6:00 p.m., Case Western Reserve University, 108 Mandel Center, 11402 Bellflower Road, Cleveland, OH 44106, ACES Distinguished Lectureship, Free and Open to the Public.
Nan Keohane writes and teaches in political philosophy, leadership and feminist theory. She has served as president of Wellesley College (1981-1993) and Duke University (1993-2004). She is the author of Thinking about Leadership (Princeton University Press 2010), Higher Ground: Ethics and Leadership in the Modern University (Duke University Press 2006) Philosophy and the State in France (1980) and co-edited Feminist Theory: a Critique of Ideology (1981). Keohane has taught at Swarthmore College, the University of Pennsylvania, and Stanford University. She is also a member of the Harvard Corporation, and chairs the Board of the Doris Duke Charitable Foundation. Her current research interests concern leadership and inequality, including gender issues.
The Importance of Community
Leadership in 2011
Congressman Emanuel Cleaver II of
Missouri’s Fifth U.S. Congressional District
and Chairman of the Congressional Black Caucus.
October 21, 2011, 12:30-2 p.m., Case Western Reserve University Annual Louis Stokes Leadership Symposium on Social Issues and the Community, Allen Memorial Medical Library,
11000 Euclid Ave.,
Cleveland, Ohio 44106. This program is free and open to the public. Reception follows.
The Louis Stokes Symposium is a public forum dedicated to leadership in public service and civic engagement as espoused by U. S. Congressman Louis Stokes.
The symposium provides a platform for an individual, who exemplifies these qualities, to lead a thought-provoking discussion among members of the Greater Cleveland community, the Case Western Reserve University campus, and others about the continuing importance and value of public leadership in the 21st century.
Congressman Cleaver serves on the House Committees on Financial Services and on Homeland Security. He was Mayor of Kansas City from 1991-1999. Recent speakers for the symposium include U.S. Rep. Maxine Waters from California, U.S. Rep. Melvin L. Watt from North Carolina and U.S. Rep. Charles B. Rangel from New York.
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About the Friday Lunch Newsletter
If you would like to reply, submit items for inclusion, or not receive this weekly e-mail please send a notice to: padg@case.edu.
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