ELECTION FORECASTS: WHAT AWAITS US ON NOVEMBER 6?
Karen Beckwith, Ph.D. - Flora Stone Mather Professor of Political Science
Justin Buchler, Ph.D. - Assistant Professor of Political Science
Andrew M. Lucker, Ph.D.- Associate Director of the Center for Policy Studies and Adjunct Assistant Professor of Political Science
Friday October 31, 2008
Crawford Hall - Room 9
Case Western Reserve University
Here's your chance to see how you'd do against some of the faculty if there were fantasy politics leagues like fantasy baseball.
In our traditional pre-election Friday lunch discussion, Political Science department faculty will suggest what to watch for on election eve, make their predictions about the results, and comment on why it might happen and what it could mean.
As usual, we will gather in Room 9 of the Inamori International Center for Ethics and Excellence, on the lower level of Crawford Hall, for free cookies, beverages, and brown bag lunch.
About Our Guests
Karen Beckwith received her B.A. from the University of Kentucky (1972) and her M.A. and Ph.D. from Syracuse University (1977, 1982). Teaching primarily in the areas of US politics, political movements, and women, gender, and politics, she has special interests in the United States and West Europe, particularly Britain and Italy.
Justin Buchler studies elections, with an emphasis on legislative elections. His primary line of research is about the effects of competitive elections on political institutions. Contrary to conventional wisdom, he argues that competitive elections create perverse incentives for candidates, and produce unrepresentative election outcomes. Thus, he argues that competitive elections are actually bad for democracy. He has published several papers on this topic, and won the 2007 Gordon Tullock Prize for, The Social Sub-optimality of Competitive Elections, (published in Public Choice). His other papers on the topic focus on redistricting, and he is currently working on a book manuscript on competitive elections.
Andrew Lucker's first book, V. O. Key Jr., The Quintessential Political Scientist (New York: Peter Lang Publishing, 2001) focused on an extensive examination of the work and life of one of the most important American political scientists of the twentieth century, V. O. Key, Jr. (1908-1963). The research is based on Key's voluminous personal papers, interviews with his family, colleagues, and graduate students, plus thorough study of all of his published and unpublished writings, much of which is not readily accessible today. Dr. Lucker is currently researching a book on American polling pioneer Samuel Lubell. Dr. Lucker also recently completed a chapter on the Ohio legislative process for an edited book, Ohio Politics, that was released in the fall of 2007.
Friday Lunch Upcoming Topics and Speakers:
November 7: Responding to the Foreclosure Crisis with Jim Rokakis, Cuyahoga County Treasurer.
November 14: Charging for Car Insurance by the Mile: Good Business and Good for Energy and the Environment? With Richard Hutchinson, General Manager for the “My Rate” program, Progressive Insurance.
November 21: TBA
November 28: Thanksgiving Break
December 5: TBA
The Friday Lunch discussions are held on the lower (ground) level of
Crawford Hall. Visitors with mobility issues may find it easiest to take advantage of special arrangements we have made. On most Fridays, a few parking spaces in the V.I.P. lot in between Crawford Hall and Amasa Stone Chapel are held for participants in the lunch discussion.
Visitors then can avoid walking up the hill to the first floor of Crawford by entering the building on the ground level, through the garage area under the building. The further door on the left in that garage will be left unlocked during the period before the Friday lunch. On occasion, parking will be unavailable because of other university events.
For more information about these and other Center for Policy Studies programs, please see http://policy.case.edu.